INTERESTING SPECULATIONS ABOUT THE WORLD CHAMPION - WU, CHINGIN OR YAMAGUCHI?

Published by Ando Meritee on 2007-08-14


Many people are now speculating about the possible outcome of WC AT. To save you from the trouble of reading Berger Coefficients, I provide you some possible scenarios here.

The pairs are:
Round 11 Iio - Karlsson
Round 11 Oll - Savrasova
Round 11 Okabe - Purk
Round 11 Yamaguchi - Chingin
Round 11 Wu - Sushkov
Round 11 Taimla - Kozhin

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Case 1:
All results will be draw.
Final standings:

Wu, Di Chi 8? 41,75
Yamaguchi, Y. Jap 7? 35,75
Chingin, K. Rus 7? 35,00
Sushkov, V. Rus 7? 33,25
Taimla, T. Est 6? 32,00
Savrasova, Y. Rus 6 33,00
Purk, A. Est 6 29,25
Karlsson, S. Swe 4 19,75
Okabe, H. Jap 4 15,00
Iio, Y. Jap 3? 15,75
Kozhin, M. Rus 3 15,25
Oll, A. Est 2 7,75
-----------------------------------------

Case 2:
Sushkov wins against Wu Di while other results are draw.
Amazingly,Wu Di will still have a better Berger coefficient.

Wu, Di Chi 8 38,00
Sushkov, V. Rus 8 37,00
Yamaguchi, Y. Jap 7? 36,25
Chingin, K. Rus 7? 35,50
Taimla, T. Est 6? 32,00
Savrasova, Y. Rus 6 33,00
Purk, A. Est 6 28,75
Karlsson, S. Swe 4 19,75
Okabe, H. Jap 4 15,00
Iio, Y. Jap 3? 15,75
Kozhin, M. Rus 3 15,25
Oll, A. Est 2 7,75
-----------------------------------------

Case 3:
Chingin and Sushkov win their games, other games are draws.

Chingin, K. Rus 8 38,75
Wu, Di Chi 8 38,00
Sushkov, V. Rus 8 37,00
Yamaguchi, Y. Jap 7 32,50
Taimla, T. Est 6? 32,00
Savrasova, Y. Rus 6 33,00
Purk, A. Est 6 29,00
Karlsson, S. Swe 4 19,25
Okabe, H. Jap 4 15,00
Iio, Y. Jap 3? 16,00
Kozhin, M. Rus 3 15,25
Oll, A. Est 2 7,75

----------------------------------------------------------
Case 4:
Yamaguchi and Sushkov win their games, other games are draws.

Yamaguchi, Y. Jap 8 39,50
Wu, Di Chi 8 38,00
Sushkov, V. Rus 8 37,00
Chingin, K. Rus 7 31,75
Taimla, T. Est 6? 32,00
Savrasova, Y. Rus 6 33,00
Purk, A. Est 6 28,50
Karlsson, S. Swe 4 20,25
Okabe, H. Jap 4 15,00
Iio, Y. Jap 3? 15,50
Kozhin, M. Rus 3 15,25
Oll, A. Est 2 7,75

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Case 5:
I am still trying, but I cannot find any scenario by which Sushkov would get first place. So pity. I keep trying. As soon as I find a scenario, I will send the News update immediately.

So based on current speculations, there can be 3 candidates for World Champion title tomorrow - Wu, Chingin and Yamaguchi.

To summarize, if Wu loses the game, then the winner of the game Chingin-Yamaguchi will decide the world Champion (either Chingin or Yamaguchi), whereas, if that game is a draw then Wu is still the Champion.

I hope my analysis was useful.

Ando


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